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Passed STC:
LLR: 2.97 (-2.94,2.94) <0.00,2.00>
Total: 72864 W: 19060 L: 18690 D: 35114
Ptnml(0-2): 208, 8420, 18832, 8738, 234
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/view/6897e839f8a258623dda6e73
Passed LTC:
LLR: 2.95 (-2.94,2.94) <0.50,2.50>
Total: 52890 W: 13807 L: 13456 D: 25627
Ptnml(0-2): 29, 5643, 14752, 5990, 31
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/live_elo/6897c5eaf8a258623dda6dfb
However, this patch involves quite a large tune.
The untuned version passed STC:
LLR: 2.93 (-2.94,2.94) <0.00,2.00>
Total: 38176 W: 10103 L: 9785 D: 18288
Ptnml(0-2): 121, 4371, 9803, 4655, 138
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/view/6896da31f8a258623dda69d8
The untuned version failed LTC:
LLR: -2.94 (-2.94,2.94) <0.50,2.50>
Total: 97284 W: 24948 L: 24991 D: 47345
Ptnml(0-2): 54, 10576, 27418, 10547, 47
https://tests.stockfishchess.org/tests/live_elo/6896dfc7f8a258623dda69e1
Currently, removing the second-order history while maintaining the tuned value seems to be about neutral at LTC. The VLTC could either pass or fail. This suggests a very complex relationship.
bench: 3068005
What do you think? If it were me, I would merge the patch and wait for the VVLTC tune before attempting to simplify away this second-order history.